Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b69406b8207bf8d753c7edc997972052f32df86c30f559b5c5e33ca74234310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 30c | 128,132$38,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,439.64 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 40,743$28,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,246.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 70c | 17,600$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 16,561$11,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.24 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 14,729$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 28c | 14,192$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 13,761$10,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 12,294$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed No | 70c | 6,700$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 5,106$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.88 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 4,464$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Yes | 28c | 4,323$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 12c | 4,215$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 72c | 4,013$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 3,200$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 3,200$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 69c | 2,560$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 2,397$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.67 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 32c | 2,320$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 30c | 1,933$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 1,740$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 1,708$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.75 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 1,700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 18c | 1,621$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 68c | 1,609$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 1,432$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.77 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 29c | 1,385$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 1,335$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 1,200$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,102$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.53 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 70c | 1,081$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 10c | 999.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.91 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed No | 71c | 887.22$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 816$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 70c | 787.95$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 29c | 767.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 693.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 651.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 70c | 640$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 33c | 600$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed No | 58c | 582.02$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…3b52backed Yes | 47c | 582$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 32c | 568.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 553.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 30c | 549$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 59c | 514.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…fa1ebacked Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 17c | 485.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 73c | 470.75$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 68c | 456.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 403.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 30c | 400.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 393$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 70c | 391.5$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 32c | 391.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Yes | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes | 28c | 361.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 28c | 342.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 28c | 314.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 9c | 312.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 309.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…b778backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 34c | 265.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 78c | 254.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 79c | 251$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 79c | 250.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked No | 53c | 232.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 74c | 228.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.