TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x74bb…3b52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.82
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$26.47
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+331.4%+$1,591.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.72
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$539.88
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.84
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.82
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$81.6
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.09
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.63
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.29
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.33
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.68
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$73.77
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$165.36
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$111.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$285.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.87
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$208.45
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.2
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$24.16
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Dbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$49.33
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.82
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.59
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.48
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.35
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Play-Inbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.55
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.18
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$295.45
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156%+$209.64
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$99.12
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$119.64
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$100.45
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$70.08
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.48
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$150.08
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$72.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$39.84
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.79
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$94.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192.01
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$226.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.19
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.08
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.85
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$161.65
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.74
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$469.36
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.92
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.65
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$469.44
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.73
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$82.54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.59
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$299.51
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.97
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$83.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$458.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.44
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$926.64
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,897.83
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$284.76
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.