TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
STATEof STATE, Bebop
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce99…227abacked Bebop40c9,986$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Bebop53c7,861$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.541,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Bebop50c4,227$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.9665546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed STATE52c4,222$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.5356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Bebop53c4,057$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.1725147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked STATE50c3,584$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.33,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop42c3,225$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.486,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Bebop56c3,044$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.4845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae71…8488backed STATE51c2,986$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.094100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop61c2,531$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked STATE55c2,421$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.651,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed STATE56c2,198$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.9529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x328f…efe2backed Bebop53c2,177$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.671118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed STATE71c2,102$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.656246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed STATE47c2,080$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.1733627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Bebop56c2,067$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed STATE46c2,018$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.865955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked STATE58c1,978$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.3148948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked STATE55c1,890$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.6754346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed STATE44c1,849$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.282958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed STATE52c1,743$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.641,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bebop70c1,735$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.1784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked STATE56c1,715$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.1138942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed STATE44c1,436$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.931,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed STATE72c1,380$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed STATE49c1,351$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2755950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Bebop1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed STATE53c1,287$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop44c1,269$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.434,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Bebop20c1,254$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8621536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked STATE31c1,066$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2828644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed STATE59c1,039$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.395,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed STATE78c1,014$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Bebop1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Bebop1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Bebop48c877.77$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.951,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed STATE60c821.33$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5352951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Bebop40c731.86$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.161258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80c…d40cbacked Bebop55c677.54$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.041850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…eab3backed Bebop51c674.7$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.876259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed STATE31c625.69$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed STATE47c591.11$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6329647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed STATE63c571.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5278043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed STATE48c557.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5720743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed STATE56c506.18$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.832443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed STATE40c495.72$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6716935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed STATE60c492.8$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.126050%30 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Bebop57c492.65$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8122754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed STATE44c491.42$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed STATE72c462.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8216829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked STATE50c456$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5736253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed STATE72c443.32$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5983543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bebop53c435.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.251,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bebop61c434.06$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.371,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed STATE55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Bebop19c399.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9915935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Bebop61c389.36$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.235843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed STATE33c389$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9561837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed STATE43c347.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6716550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed STATE43c335.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked STATE59c324.92$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6640635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Bebop37c323.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.298844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked STATE68c322.68$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2449242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE68c304.39$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.572,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Bebop52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15613839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE61c294.85$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.441,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Bebop55c286.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop11c280.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.243,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bebop35c261.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.172,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bebop35c251.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.122,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE57c227.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.835,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Bebop47c223.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed STATE45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12124038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf8…1e82backed Bebop52c214.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.496854.4%37 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e07…292bbacked Bebop53c211.88$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Bebop54c204.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6515544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed STATE34c197.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2214137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed STATE46c194.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed STATE51c193.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5376546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bebop71c184.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Bebop55c179.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5269635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Bebop60c173.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.642548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE68c163.28$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.867,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed STATE37c163.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5954032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed STATE48c159.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.640247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Bebop62c159.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.593141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed STATE71c157.84$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.224542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4513…5a38backed STATE44c153.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked STATE52c151.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.192,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed STATE48c150.71$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.373935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked STATE74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398051.3%41 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed STATE42c141.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.68838.6%34 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Bebop59c141.05$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2215638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked STATE60c134.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8531440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked STATE57c131.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0129555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed STATE75c131.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.423751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Bebop50c129.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.422568%17 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+56.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed STATE45c124.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc332…59a9backed Bebop48c123.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.181553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked STATE50c122.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.