TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e80…f694

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-49.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$183.92
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.5
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.31
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.17
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$307
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.29
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.48
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.65
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$96.95
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.08
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.7
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$282.59
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.8%+$917.52
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$301.6
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.2%+$704.36
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$237.5
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.31
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.76
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.17
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+184.3%+$1,457.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$645.99
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$772.24
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$77.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,991.99
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.11
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.92
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.21
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.68
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.76
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.7
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.3%+$883.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$101.29
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$1,576.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$301.07
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.08
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$396.29
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+52.1%+$962.16
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,349.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+57.9%+$3,154.52
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Young TigeRES (BO3)backed Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$95.08
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-Betera Esports (BO3)backed Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$928.97
Southampton FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.86
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Leicester City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Preston North End FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.9%+$68.57
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.2
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Massimo Giuntabacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,448.35
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouamebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$25.7
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,786.52
Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,639.17
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+191.3%+$211.65
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.7
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$10.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+75%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$116.6
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$22.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$71.52
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$106.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.6
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,557.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+91.2%+$181.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$330.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$22.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LIT Esport vs Team NKT (BO1)backed LIT Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 40 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.