CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49da2b7107fab6c459f5a2d2792ca84254343ad4f2a00147848ff30f085f76a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x537e…a602backed No | 72c | 902.42$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Yes | 28c | 866$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 26c | 803.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked No | 68c | 406.88$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…573abacked Yes | 47c | 369$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 28c | 205$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 30c | 161.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed No | 76c | 114.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 102.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 38c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…e123backed No | 70c | 82.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 79c | 52.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 54c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 45c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d6…1cc8backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7cc0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…f437backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…b245backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?this page
- Will There be 0 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 1-3 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.