CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5711ccbc4a6eb66baa5711d742fc93fc2d985067aadc8ac20c2ca8e962d1aca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 71c | 539.09$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 80c | 408.57$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.7 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…a602backed Yes | 78c | 327.49$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Yes | 4c | 275$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.9 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 20c | 204.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 64c | 190.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 38c | 162.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 21c | 92.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 28c | 88.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 44c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed Yes | 52c | 72.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 50c | 70.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked No | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 28c | 47.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 47c | 32.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…11fdbacked No | 40c | 28.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?this page
- Will There be 0 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 1-3 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.