CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b3e705f05a242eddb93ed26911edee2bb0814f3445453f75eaf3b1f8cf5373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 20c | 233.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 7c | 180.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 8c | 175.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 9c | 146.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 104.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes | 35c | 85.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 23c | 53.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 36c | 50.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…7deebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…e442backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?this page
- Will There be 0 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 1-3 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.