TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe39…cf5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$184.29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$109.03
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+248.6%+$99.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.