TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$578,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes33c190,381$63,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,679.181060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes23c165,020$37,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,981.066832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c130,301$90,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,227.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c51,616$36,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,703.343,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c33,598$23,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,753.0590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c31,405$22,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,478.1583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No77c30,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9005964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c26,431$20,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.821,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No76c22,973$17,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,490.3710948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c21,687$16,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,482.431,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c17,012$12,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,423.871,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf12…582fbacked Yes0c12,797$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No74c10,362$7,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Yes21c9,526$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes18c9,308$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.6380%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No66c8,799$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.844856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No79c7,000$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c6,131$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.742,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2334…69b6backed Yes9c5,532$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.332544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c5,023$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.5261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes28c4,043$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.263831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No66c3,709$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.1722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c3,554$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.8123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Yes34c3,531$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c2,719$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes11c2,579$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.712365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No70c2,485$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.335671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c2,478$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes21c2,385$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c2,365$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.84463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No79c2,300$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.091973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes21c2,005$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.091915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes24c1,798$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No66c1,483$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.217954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes1c1,418$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.183545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab7e…b5d1backed No80c1,409$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.793100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c1,400$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No76c1,351$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.762755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,260$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed No66c1,224$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.752040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No74c1,164$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.673476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No67c1,126$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9311266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes22c1,105$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.072045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c1,084$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.2425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes21c1,025$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.291040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No71c898.68$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6219260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed Yes48c867.94$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes7c789.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No66c763.64$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9211820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd98…6c49backed Yes24c763.52$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No66c740.72$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8920360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes21c727.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.381513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes34c711.83$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes17c695$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes34c692.05$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No71c691.58$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes27c639.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.659541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.722128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c600.54$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c591$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes32c590.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.97744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c574.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6137829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c557.37$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No71c552.7$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2917659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.26437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…d098backed Yes34c548.79$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes75c525.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes22c519.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No78c505.7$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7712964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c500.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c499.67$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.921,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No71c483.5$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.226660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9725backed Yes33c479.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes34c474.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.323735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.261560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes18c450$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes11c431.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.332030%6 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes21c425.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.57132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No78c420$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No78c420$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes21c419.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.025151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c406.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Yes17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes75c391.54$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.662740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed Yes32c383.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…66cebacked Yes27c382.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.433447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes31c371.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No78c370$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes77c339.41$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.743342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes34c316.25$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.53825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a7…3de9backed Yes21c312.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.