TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdd2…4f62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 66 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawksbacked Brooklyn Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+168%+$21.84
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$40.5
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$9.11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$90.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$246.56
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.64
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$76.59
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$132.44
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$178.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.34
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.96
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.11
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$114.71
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.38
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3884.2%32 W · 6 L+9.2wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+44.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.9
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.68
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$51.22
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.92
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.77
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.37
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.19
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$15.88
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$30.31
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+43%+$21.52
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$138.6
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35%+$7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.55
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$11.11
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smithbacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$45.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$61.34
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.