Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15dcc1a65bd09ac258b6da72571ee8b8f0a37ccc7985773a87971db16cb8a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 27c | 191,629$51,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,438.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 73c | 56,868$41,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,354.47 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 73c | 50,000$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 36,175$21,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,498.69 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 33,469$24,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,836.04 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 26c | 23,390$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 21,325$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.74 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 20,121$14,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.59 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 18,873$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 69c | 17,207$11,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.34 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 1c | 13,612$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 13,034$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,806.32 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 26c | 11,850$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 10,207$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.66 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 9,000$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 8,000$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 31c | 7,326$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 73c | 7,019$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 74c | 5,316$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 61c | 5,228$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 74c | 4,609$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.73 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 65c | 4,487$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked No | 74c | 4,410$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 64c | 4,393$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.46 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed No | 70c | 4,036$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 3,940$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes | 60c | 3,929$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 73c | 3,721$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 73c | 3,002$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 74c | 2,953$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.83 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 25c | 2,806$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 2,685$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 73c | 2,627$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.29 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 26c | 2,376$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 73c | 2,222$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 41c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 40c | 1,744$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.69 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 1,724$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 74c | 1,723$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.9 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 1,677$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,615$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 1,579$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.55 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 1,433$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.68 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Yes | 43c | 1,397$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 67c | 1,367$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…6585backed Yes | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 43c | 1,234$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 1,100$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,055$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 1,054$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 72c | 1,038$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.85 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 72c | 1,012$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.62 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,008$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.97 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed No | 61c | 1,001$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 67c | 1,001$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.02 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…b3dcbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 72c | 994.85$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.51 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 72c | 970.78$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.18 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…8953backed Yes | 1c | 957.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…7c7bbacked Yes | 4c | 931.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 25c | 898.88$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 26c | 877.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 868.26$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 25c | 859.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 5c | 843.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 833.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 27c | 814.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 26c | 808.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…84b4backed Yes | 26c | 800.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 23c | 799.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 26c | 793.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d098backed Yes | 27c | 785.44$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 26c | 726.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 30c | 640.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 74c | 595.96$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…05a6backed Yes | 28c | 567.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 7c | 567.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 27c | 548.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 74c | 532.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked No | 75c | 525.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 5c | 523.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 27c | 501.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 496.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 26c | 496.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.