TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,617,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,698,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,617,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes52c398,192$207,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,132.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes53c189,194$99,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,686.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes52c187,743$97,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,116.441560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No47c180,544$84,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,855.687742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No48c178,480$85,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,670.45545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c111,090$69,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,082.261,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes47c99,785$46,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,886.313633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No49c90,565$44,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,483.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c69,317$37,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,635.4729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c65,411$30,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,093.7461447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,199.921838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No47c50,537$23,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,752.477346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0006344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0004641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes30c49,764$15,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,602.356844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c46,005$21,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,260.9759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No48c45,317$21,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,752.272050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes56c45,303$25,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,078.658243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No48c44,258$21,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,244.042433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Yes44c33,407$14,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,770.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4032…5f22backed No0c31,915$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c28,550$13,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,573.786442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No48c23,050$10,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,988.037346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No49c22,592$11,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,074.995145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No48c22,429$10,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,845.067145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c21,795$11,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,620.3539443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No48c21,500$10,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3204746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No48c20,183$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6885466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No48c20,011$9,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,605.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No35c19,656$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.136666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No48c18,977$9,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,045.122729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Yes53c18,330$9,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,615.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes54c18,007$9,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,283.41757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c17,896$8,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,411.0215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No48c16,585$7,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,960.5710040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No45c16,413$7,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,330.145248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No45c15,697$7,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,011.755549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No45c14,948$6,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.195944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes26c14,877$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,008.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No45c14,700$6,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,545.942860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c14,405$8,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.1138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No46c14,119$6,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,494.534247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No45c13,927$6,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,267.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes53c13,752$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.393735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes21c13,308$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,463.221323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+112.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c12,566$8,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,029.2146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No58c11,416$6,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.925263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No37c11,295$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.368056.3%45 W · 35 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c10,989$6,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.388853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes77c10,806$8,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.128440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No47c10,672$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.723842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No5c10,625$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.162035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.942334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.96643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3869…fbc9backed No52c9,571$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes53c9,168$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes52c9,100$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.9429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes54c9,065$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.476952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes51c8,993$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes53c8,680$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.691250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No44c8,394$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c8,166$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6243333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No22c8,010$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.013348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7602326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No48c7,687$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes53c7,677$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes53c7,651$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c7,292$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No48c7,200$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.871323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes72c7,191$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.7920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No45c7,040$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.988847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c6,998$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.5759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No46c6,759$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.094351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Yes55c6,546$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c6,302$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.379659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes53c6,179$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.311250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c6,097$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.6722147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No46c5,963$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No48c5,813$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No47c5,650$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No47c5,558$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c5,208$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.3810852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c5,128$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.9210648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No53c5,120$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.648259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30010742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes47c4,912$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.336450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes52c4,887$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c4,859$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.737750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes32c4,796$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.282552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No46c4,731$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No47c4,725$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.723452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked Yes53c4,650$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes54c4,574$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.995248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No47c4,469$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes60c4,446$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.424470.5%31 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No64c4,382$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.7945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes61c4,377$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.497454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes50c4,318$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.883336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.