TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3a8…06d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$3,971.2
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,954.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,997.21
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$6,303.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,203.65
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,235.59
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,715
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$7,447.36
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,770.15
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,982.4
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,563.73
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,819.29
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,501.99
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,003.4
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,246.39
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,436.1
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,364.54
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$5,032.5
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,574
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200.1
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$6,089.98
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,665.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$6,055.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,697
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,524.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,364.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,039.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,206.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$10,995.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,663
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$3,996
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,053.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,647.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,807.99
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+900%+$360
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+217.4%+$14,100.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$6,506.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,526.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,673.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,213.99
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,767.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.16
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350.7
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310.24
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,695
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$4,093.2
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,416.28
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,572
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.98
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,323.28
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,312
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,235.72
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,889.6
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,488.21
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,524.79
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,788.87
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,560.23
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,778.32
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,447.2
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$232
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,013.2
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Sedriques Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,273.76
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$5,022
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,505.5
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$5,005
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Loopy Godínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.96
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,458.5
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.2
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,696.76
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$639.6
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,787.1
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Regina Tarin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$2,006.76
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,747.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,043Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$7,188.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,455.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,818.88
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,134.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,368.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$11,996.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,311.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$11,171.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,573.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,802.94
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.86
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.51
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.85
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.47
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.95
Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$3,595.59
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,339.95
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+235%+$7,161.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,231.25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$7,535.97
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,178.3
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.96
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$4,264.13
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,584.93
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,544.16
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,401
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,535.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830.39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,329.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,829Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$5,486.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$4,019.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,028
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,652Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$7,547.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,307.91
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverevbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.