TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,474,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,581,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,474,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes64c746,169$477,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268,649.031747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No36c440,024$158,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,408.273946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No36c103,927$37,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,413.8313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c97,349$35,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,138.281,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No36c50,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No38c29,436$11,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,185.49856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes63c28,923$18,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,630.457229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No35c26,601$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,43011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…b1f4backed No0c26,240$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c25,929$9,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,631.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No38c24,988$9,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,545.831457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes63c23,112$14,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,551.536240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c22,965$8,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,274.552,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes62c20,831$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.88837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No37c18,888$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.5516848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes64c16,521$10,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,982.3514544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No36c14,040$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes63c11,948$7,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.974240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes76c10,944$8,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.8346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes59c10,461$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60015049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.113444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No38c8,015$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No37c7,950$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No36c7,800$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No39c7,183$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No36c6,738$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.557147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No10c6,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No33c5,811$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.31,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No36c5,700$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0526350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No5c5,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed No38c5,478$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.514431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No38c5,267$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes67c5,012$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.72055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.0918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed No36c4,800$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5209055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.999256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No37c3,804$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.562548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes63c3,736$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.457252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No31c3,663$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.215233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3309272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes62c3,333$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.5418259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes62c3,233$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.3816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No27c3,209$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c3,060$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.655939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No37c2,973$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No28c2,625$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.5627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes61c2,620$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.7514450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes73c2,600$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes67c2,281$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.023060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes61c1,962$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.729154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No36c1,806$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No14c1,646$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4413727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes59c1,587$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7930666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No28c1,430$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9411450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes60c1,335$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.237759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes61c1,316$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.2414975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed No44c1,230$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.23151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3966446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No37c1,075$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.432536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes67c1,045$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.591978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes73c1,000$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.018062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes59c896.8$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c876.23$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.191,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes63c797.91$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.915135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No35c784.64$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.624052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No35c771.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.56139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes68c761$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes63c733.98$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.577035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes61c709.78$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.424259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No37c700$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6739948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2663036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No36c677.61$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9711125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes67c664.53$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.27048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No28c656.41$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No21c653.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3131747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c640.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22510847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No37c612$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No35c610$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes63c602.28$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No36c600.38$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.143240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102439.3%4 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes64c599.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2189953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.