Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f50749e25f9830b171c2af2e7017e6f6ce9721872e2560f3aca25d99f1e0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,233 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 15,625$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…86b1backed Yes | 18c | 8,460$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 16c | 6,813$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 13c | 4,735$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.91 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,050$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 16c | 3,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 17c | 2,951$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,917$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 5c | 2,153$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 13c | 1,832$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 6c | 1,493$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,374$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 7c | 781.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Yes | 3c | 773.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 4c | 686.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 4c | 597.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 14c | 488.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 9c | 435.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 15c | 299.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 16c | 287.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…6140backed Yes | 14c | 257.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 247.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 13c | 228.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 208.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9691backed Yes | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…5b30backed Yes | 16c | 168.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…3a4abacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…6371backed Yes | 14c | 142.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 133.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…5946backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…6acebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…d544backed Yes | 12c | 104.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Yes | 17c | 96.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 14c | 93.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 16c | 93.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…a17dbacked Yes | 13c | 93.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…83f0backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f2d5backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…f502backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5e04backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…f2f0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…08d2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…f57cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes | 79c | 17.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.