TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1460…b5bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$244.5
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+354.5%+$88.64
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+203%+$60.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$49.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$22.12
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+113.1%+$113.13
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$46.09
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.