TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$899,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Yes72c160,000$115,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,199.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No28c156,736$43,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,850.174843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No28c99,837$28,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,784.473240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…2734backed Yes72c92,298$66,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,302.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No28c77,377$21,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,740.262755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c76,207$54,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,941.2614740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes72c46,890$33,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,772.8613149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No28c27,615$7,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,882.463452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No28c26,205$7,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,867.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No27c21,854$5,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,953.3943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No29c19,317$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,726.675947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c17,587$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,746.8191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No28c17,530$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,621.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No28c16,452$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,860.5338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes71c12,806$9,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,071.841,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No29c12,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes71c10,710$7,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,598.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c10,414$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.793,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9710960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No51c9,274$4,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No28c8,620$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,206.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No29c8,256$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,862.8736136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0313…a2c7backed Yes24c7,673$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes72c6,944$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c6,461$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.6776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes50c5,999$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.714050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No27c5,555$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.071275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes13c5,264$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No29c5,207$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,696.893455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No29c4,403$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No28c4,392$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.241040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No28c4,214$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No27c4,190$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+78.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+106.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No29c3,969$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.297055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No78c3,411$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes72c3,333$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.764551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c3,324$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.617851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No28c3,166$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.2555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1603354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No29c2,502$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No31c2,499$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes23c2,392$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.631957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Yes72c2,303$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No69c2,166$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.297237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No27c2,163$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes72c1,978$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.3312955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c1,785$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.722,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes32c1,619$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No39c1,554$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.282343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked No80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7808747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes68c1,474$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes74c1,464$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes32c1,451$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes73c1,433$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.572540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes37c1,392$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5186119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed No28c1,338$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No52c1,282$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No27c1,200$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No28c1,189$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.874955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No29c1,120$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed No29c1,102$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Yes54c1,061$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.467753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes33c1,030$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73011130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Yes71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes70c999.97$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.983148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No28c999.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.964537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed No35c999.6$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes66c982$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Yes34c970.59$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes9c963.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Yes73c960$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes43c920.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No29c858.61$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.611973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+94.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes31c857.55$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.538639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No59c740.43$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.938636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes72c705.76$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Yes71c705$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No75c660$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.25123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c659.6$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.946323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes72c650.54$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.188240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes35c650$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No29c608.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.382161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes72c607.54$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No29c606.8$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.82532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked No32c603.25$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.