TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8db9…c73bbacked Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes1c1,980$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes49c1,632$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.2410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes19c1,590$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.158639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c1,349$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.253,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No75c1,274$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes16c1,150$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfca4…6a36backed Yes23c1,039$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes34c778.62$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked Yes16c678$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes32c627.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c500.62$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes64c499.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.752176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes53c470$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.979668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No73c467.32$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.326050%30 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes22c455.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003225%8 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c448.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.152,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes33c445.54$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes23c398.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c386.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No65c342.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.913040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c303.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked No77c274.58$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.487753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes36c258.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7512345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes16c249.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c236.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No73c210.71$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.747237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073c…6a81backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes49c183.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7750%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes41c164.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5523461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9317941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Yes18c125.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.271040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No68c119.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.818636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824e…a690backed Yes41c111$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…d08abacked Yes16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+251.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ac…d145backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3270%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes17c99.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.851216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes32c93.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303129%9 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Yes28c88.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes42c87.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No75c84.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.096950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1835944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No59c80.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.948239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+171.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c74.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0516013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Yes22c73.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.995048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c69.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57f…8966backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick29cpaid+106.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes32c63.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.258130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes34c58.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Yes25c54.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+188.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes30c54.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5038…c8cebacked Yes29c51.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394e…23d2backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+106.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c45.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c44.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes28c42.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.823030%9 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes32c41.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes25c40.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…dd8bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes33c39.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No37c39.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.887553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes63c39.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.883243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Yes29c35.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c28.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2911749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.326521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.