TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x694d…9aad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$3,150.21
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,816.69
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,389.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,557.38
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,773.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,532.26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$527.03
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,777.78
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.29
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$18,321.52
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$7,456.61
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+296.3%+$38.88
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+29.5%+$11.9
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88.97
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+193.4%+$164.42
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$72.95
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$440
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-79.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$21.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$46.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$67.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$16.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$120.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ALT F4 vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$4.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.