TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over55c26,082$14,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,815.1348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c14,612$6,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Over55c7,722$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.937758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over47c7,149$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.9751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under24c5,930$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.671,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c5,311$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c5,203$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c4,122$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.322,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over50c3,549$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over56c2,882$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c2,822$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c2,664$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.231,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under2c2,600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542623.1%6 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+428%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,466$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over55c2,157$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.9840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c1,565$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.693,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under49c1,367$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.381,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under46c1,236$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.611,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under51c980.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under49c930.81$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.564553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c903$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.3595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under51c800$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40423047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over61c799.99$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c760$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Over46c731.3$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.92944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under51c716.53$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.436453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under8c699.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c635.14$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Under46c606.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.682536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over53c569.18$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.186943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c559.19$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over47c551.91$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over57c550.66$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8913951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under39c477.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.217042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Under40c472.56$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c455.03$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.362,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c412$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.122,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over52c387.5$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under41c348.34$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.747334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over53c346.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over58c344.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.819045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Under40c313.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under47c301.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.742,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over51c292.8$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4714248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under53c292.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15526048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c274.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.191,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6c…bf5abacked Under50c250.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.14057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5b…a699backed Over54c238.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under53c217.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over13c207.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c205.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd486…e0ddbacked Under47c203.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c203.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.161,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under51c195.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under71c188.6$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c181.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over56c177$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7721748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Under53c171.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.458563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Under51c164.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under47c163.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.939458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c149.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.443,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Under68c133.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.494770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over61c131.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over49c126.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under47c118.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8337848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over31c109.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6639047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under46c108.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.528456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over55c103.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6421642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913265.2%86 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c94.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.423047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over39c87.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1215663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c87.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Under47c84.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Under41c69.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.642259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f8…8908backed Over50c66.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over74c64.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9327463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c64.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.641,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.