NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b9b7b2311952e04b6c70deb900991b9752b189ff1df8918ef5ca1b5b88f717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 52c | 125,660$64,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,862.21 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Rockets | 48c | 124,167$59,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,566.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 52c | 61,353$31,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,607.53 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 51c | 39,964$20,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,581.35 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 49c | 24,389$11,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,475.39 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 49c | 23,821$11,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,227.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 49c | 22,225$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,334.62 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 51c | 16,512$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,460.49 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 49c | 14,621$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets | 48c | 13,332$6,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.97 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 13,326$6,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,869.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Rockets | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.9 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 49c | 12,129$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 49c | 10,401$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.67 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…39e0backed Rockets | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…61b9backed Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Rockets | 48c | 9,212$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.21 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 51c | 8,738$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Rockets | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz | 52c | 7,982$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.63 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.1 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Jazz | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 52c | 6,216$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,337$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.07 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Rockets | 50c | 4,885$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.5 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Rockets | 49c | 4,118$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.31 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.98 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Rockets | 49c | 3,990$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.8 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 48c | 3,824$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.48 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…8a03backed Jazz | 51c | 3,655$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…61dfbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Jazz | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 49c | 2,892$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 50c | 2,888$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.88 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Jazz | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…cacebacked Jazz | 51c | 2,802$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…b9e8backed Jazz | 51c | 2,788$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 49c | 2,777$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.29 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 52c | 2,674$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…0e0dbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,355$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…d28dbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Rockets | 47c | 2,148$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…7b21backed Rockets | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…7438backed Rockets | 49c | 1,952$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…ddb4backed Jazz | 51c | 1,855$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Rockets | 48c | 1,829$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…cbbcbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a0aebacked Rockets | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,189$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.16 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901e…89b2backed Jazz | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 64c | 962.28$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Rockets | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 877$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jazz | 51c | 876$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.76 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jazz | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 49c | 784.47$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 48c | 779.79$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Rockets | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 39c | 671.34$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Rockets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rockets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Jazz | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz | 53c | 463$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Jazz | 8c | 457.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Jazz | 38c | 456.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz | 55c | 441.37$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Rockets | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Jazz | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 49c | 304.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Jazz | 51c | 294.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 51c | 291$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…198abacked Jazz | 52c | 243.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 49c | 226$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Rockets | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz | 53c | 199.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 52c | 195.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockets | 49c | 194.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Jazz | 31c | 193.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Jazz | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Jazz | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Rockets | 49c | 190.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Jazz | 53c | 181.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Jazz | 56c | 179.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 45c | 178.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 176.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.