NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffa94e0f5a297b7d336dc4ced79beb2d68a6e69ce6c7f15c548c1876670793e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Yes | 47c | 3,403$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f8…0213backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed No | 60c | 2,045$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 11cpaid | +378%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 59c | 1,863$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.52 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Yes | 37c | 1,480$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 18c | 1,456$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Yes | 2c | 1,008$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…2347backed No | 60c | 1,000$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.9 | 28 | 100%28 W · 0 L | +9.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed No | 64c | 998.37$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.74 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Yes | 43c | 931.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 40c | 900.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Yes | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 63c | 899.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 59c | 619.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Yes | 4c | 540$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked No | 67c | 473.03$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Yes | 3c | 430$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 56c | 356.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed No | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…e347backed Yes | 44c | 321.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 313.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes | 44c | 302.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…12bbbacked Yes | 33c | 278.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 63c | 272.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes | 40c | 270.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 56c | 266$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad8…4c72backed Yes | 37c | 261.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -14.1wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…c777backed Yes | 33c | 184.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1259…cadebacked Yes | 48c | 167.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Yes | 37c | 159.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…694ebacked Yes | 40c | 136.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb022…31acbacked Yes | 34c | 132.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…6c9abacked Yes | 37c | 128.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…98c7backed Yes | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 102.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 60c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed No | 59c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 216 | 72.2%156 W · 60 L | +28.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Yes | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed Yes | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…466bbacked No | 59c | 74.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yes | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…d188backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2833backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…2494backed Yes | 41c | 43.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…59f9backed Yes | 41c | 32.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…9442backed Yes | 32c | 31.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 60c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.