TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30a3…1943backed Over54c10,255$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.323050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c8,255$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c5,953$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c4,709$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.2429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b4…e9e1backed Under45c4,646$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c4,557$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Over55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb1…c39ebacked Under45c3,745$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c3,523$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.041,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under47c3,339$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.3424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc023…804fbacked Under45c3,214$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fa…6333backed Under45c3,211$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589f…aa99backed Under45c3,200$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1563…d223backed Under45c2,817$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf290…5369backed Over55c2,401$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1521,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c2,327$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe596…9008backed Over55c2,322$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…a872backed Under45c2,254$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f4…567ebacked Over55c2,202$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207b…8d78backed Under45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c2,118$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdea…2545backed Over55c2,033$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0c…95b5backed Over55c2,022$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4586…f49bbacked Over55c2,010$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b82…997cbacked Over55c2,001$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under32c1,885$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.791,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…55dbbacked Over55c1,856$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd16…ccb5backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8708…60aebacked Over55c1,717$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x332c…e9afbacked Under45c1,688$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83d…b5c9backed Over55c1,626$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Under45c1,602$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.91643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked Over51c1,601$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.231353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Over55c1,595$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed Under50c1,595$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c1,590$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c1,565$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9edb…9566backed Over55c1,522$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over57c1,488$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over55c1,443$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.519556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over68c1,440$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.881,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be9…2885backed Over55c1,424$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over56c1,224$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.549742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59f1…9c53backed Over55c1,221$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f37…4d4bbacked Over56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.891060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Under44c1,157$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under43c1,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,090$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under33c1,087$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5917042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Under48c1,065$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.075139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c1,031$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.811,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under43c918$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Under45c830.52$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.732030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Over55c830$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under46c806$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…3f8fbacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over67c767.61$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over58c621$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0612642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over54c600$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c580.08$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.162,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under46c575$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.518345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c527.76$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9945647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c406.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0458449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over57c393.77$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7712536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8819045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over54c327.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…93a1backed Under47c321.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Under44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under44c274$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under43c263.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under44c242.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.721,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c232.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c228.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over67c212$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c198.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Under43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Under43c182.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.31926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c181.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.21,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Over55c154.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.552236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over57c150.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.611450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c147$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.131,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under49c145.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.156235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c144.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.73,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c137$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over73c130.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over51c128.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c127.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under45c121.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7439047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c119.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over50c118.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.914643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c114.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.653,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c113.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.