TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c59,197$28,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,538.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Over52c59,000$30,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,42048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c48,884$25,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,466.341,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Under51c40,699$20,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,765.418944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Under46c28,218$12,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,980.135139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over54c18,964$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,723.2219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c11,629$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c10,784$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c10,612$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c10,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.0138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over50c8,098$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.7537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c7,812$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Over55c6,900$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.992250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c6,893$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.5129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under46c6,168$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.4322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under45c5,377$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.5462652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…190cbacked Over52c5,212$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd70…9280backed Under52c5,011$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd063…0971backed Under52c4,909$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c4,719$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.742,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,620$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd0…3ffebacked Over52c4,101$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c4,088$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.551,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6363…70febacked Under52c4,011$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b7…9460backed Over52c3,964$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under2c3,936$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7229810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over51c3,920$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.63050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c3,885$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…7c1fbacked Over52c3,010$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2beb…8ce2backed Under48c3,003$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,889$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.611,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…7674backed Under52c2,879$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcc…f53fbacked Over48c2,833$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1956453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…2f4dbacked Over48c2,677$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301e…ae84backed Over49c2,532$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0030…1befbacked Over48c2,515$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1d4ebacked Over48c2,483$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c2,470$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a7…b0cfbacked Under48c2,433$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f1…78e3backed Under48c2,414$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc7…ea8abacked Under51c2,352$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef7d…c793backed Under48c2,303$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…a84ebacked Over48c2,267$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41fc…271bbacked Under48c2,121$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa10…04a2backed Over48c2,088$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c1,929$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.471,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under45c1,848$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.4792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x157e…3210backed Under48c1,818$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73fa…c26bbacked Under48c1,689$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f51…e55fbacked Over48c1,335$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,251$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.432,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c1,103$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.093,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c993.3$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over52c952.65$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.2723747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c936.71$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under35c875.72$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c790.43$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c666.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c618.43$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8064…5609backed Over48c611$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over54c583.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.022025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3013…dbe1backed Under48c506$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Under47c485.48$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2267439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c417.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c359.01$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.891,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c353.91$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over68c299.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c293.25$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over53c290.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Over53c290$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.39443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over52c268.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1435844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under52c242.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c241.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8524147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c227.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10932450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under48c224$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5212642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under47c206.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c202$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Under51c192.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.998742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under59c186.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under38c182$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.672,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under39c178.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1111826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Over58c173.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.