NBA · resolved market
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8911f5c1c3cc67df4f584c347895c2e1174825ddbc6d7eb9262499caef31458f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 51c | 2,450$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.22 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 50c | 626$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 48c | 489$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 48c | 404.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 48c | 235$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed No | 48c | 120.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…b7e5backed No | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 50c | 72.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…850fbacked No | 50c | 52.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.