NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401c31f5a869b2a2cc0e73585d88db8cc983d27f25227c7b17cb99fc42e4c36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 58c | 12,972$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.62 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 7,305$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…5db0backed Over | 59c | 3,094$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…dd96backed Under | 41c | 2,963$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349b…38ecbacked Under | 41c | 2,867$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…21aabacked Under | 41c | 2,864$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 46c | 2,718$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.96 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…4bc7backed Under | 41c | 2,455$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…37a1backed Over | 59c | 2,301$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…9308backed Under | 41c | 2,235$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…33e0backed Over | 59c | 2,163$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 1,789$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,578$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 45c | 1,553$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,538$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…a3d6backed Over | 59c | 1,488$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…64f3backed Over | 59c | 1,422$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcb…aa37backed Over | 59c | 1,388$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…5ebdbacked Over | 59c | 1,378$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 33c | 1,207$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 1,019$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Under | 45c | 1,005$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.95 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 543$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 39c | 539.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 538.1$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 39c | 516.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 58c | 501.17$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 41c | 442.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 408.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 58c | 162.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 161.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 42c | 133.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 46c | 130.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 120.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 45c | 106.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 38c | 100.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 17c | 98.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2860…b066backed Over | 61c | 77.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…51b7backed Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 23c | 65.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 55c | 52.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Under | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 36c | 48.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…524cbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…0cf6backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…7560backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 62c | 36.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 44c | 36.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 39c | 35.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 43c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Over | 55c | 28.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…20debacked Over | 61c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Rockets won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.