TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Over79c29,435$23,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,303.148451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over50c14,300$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.881,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60076054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under31c8,709$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.7952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under11c8,303$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.191,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under28c2,398$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over55c2,290$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under19c1,687$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7330157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under27c1,546$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4921443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under16c1,403$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over59c1,240$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.131,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under12c1,228$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under42c925.32$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over60c842.06$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3534855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over53c823.28$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.943,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under23c776.27$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c749.1$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over77c723.24$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.366764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over57c655.36$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7117042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under17c650$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.518743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c503$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.261,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under36c449.77$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.243,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under13c431.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0914636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over53c409$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb1…8ec8backed Under38c386.22$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.761650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under35c355.25$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…bf5abacked Over59c345.64$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…6165backed Over69c320.48$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under41c301.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.682,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under51c269.15$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.814255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over74c261.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over79c260.31$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed Over62c234.96$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c231.89$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Over80c221.71$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3417236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under10c200.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under17c188.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under34c171.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under32c158.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a48…498cbacked Over65c152.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Over65c151.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.473351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5272250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…eb85backed Over62c151.26$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3322170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bf…511dbacked Over65c125.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under16c123.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.782,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over74c120.39$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.398944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Over69c107$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1712766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b60…7508backed Over66c106.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0616261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under42c103$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d8…480bbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under37c99.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.641,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under43c98.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under33c95.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under22c94.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under32c87.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.610945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under33c79.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over53c75.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5621459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under38c73.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2114448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over70c71.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6515959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over75c69.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3324358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under28c68.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3439047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under39c58.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under35c57.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over66c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.79653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3912961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1512149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over74c41.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8913037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.810558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Over64c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over57c35.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4630151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Over53c35.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4711661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c34.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under35c33.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6924428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9ca8backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b2…7b9dbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2619…b17fbacked Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb57…e52ebacked Over73c27.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf1…a57bbacked Over72c24.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.852850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over65c20.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3313950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f20…5d9bbacked Over73c20.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Over71c19.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Over64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.756157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e3…d161backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.