TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdfb…ed19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$27.08
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$59.93
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Hornets vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76.63
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$27.52
Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$127.63
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.11
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.66
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$89.28
Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+141.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.96
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.18
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$124.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$69.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.