Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa47331a1e0fca0c02646842c4ca011a145dd1094c4efee7c4aae609d97d247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 39c | 3,056$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 10c | 1,990$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 1,921$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 1,851$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.89 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,585$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 1,356$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.43 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 61c | 1,113$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 39c | 839.62$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.83 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Under | 62c | 778$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 600$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 30c | 328.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…48f2backed Over | 9c | 324.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Over | 38c | 280.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 257.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 175.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 39c | 128.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 63c | 117.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 102.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 34c | 100.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 37c | 99.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 20c | 97.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 92.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 86.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 80c | 83.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Under | 62c | 72.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Under | 62c | 71.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Under | 62c | 68.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Under | 62c | 67.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 39c | 62.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…e97dbacked Over | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 64c | 48.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 43.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 40.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 51c | 39.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 67c | 18.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.