Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75910758426b5307739f58e5303e340deab1a868903987d7d6ad158c0170060f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 7,401$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 69c | 1,308$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,229$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.09 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 982.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.77 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 755.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 636.19$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 616.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 488.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 445.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…60b9backed Under | 49c | 438.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Over | 51c | 436.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 362.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 346.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 289.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 79c | 272.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 209.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 170.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 51c | 96.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 20c | 60.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 56.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 41c | 49.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 46.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 79c | 44.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 78c | 39.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 54c | 38.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 38.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…360ebacked Under | 49c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 50c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 53c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 79c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.