Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661df1b64913bd0bbcb541cb24dac7844286e5c73dac60d160e3e3f4cbf7c8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 3,903$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 3,477$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 64c | 2,277$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 19c | 1,617$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.51 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 28c | 1,100$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 9c | 941$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 37c | 867.68$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 17c | 813$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.79 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 787.71$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 21c | 704.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 617.63$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.13 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 42c | 604.76$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 60c | 402.52$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 18c | 342.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 307.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Under | 33c | 302.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 79c | 284.45$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 38c | 264.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 46c | 233.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 6c | 214.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.63 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 205.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 77c | 195.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 64c | 172.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Under | 48c | 165.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 20c | 149.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 143.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 12c | 136.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 135.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 123.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked Under | 38c | 86.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 37c | 86.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Over | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 62.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…c4b2backed Over | 72c | 61.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 21c | 52.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Under | 29c | 50.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 58c | 42.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…a7e8backed Under | 37c | 35.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 62c | 34.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 62c | 32.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 73c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 63c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 69c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.