TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6932…5f93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+308.1%+$96.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,006%+$186.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$16.37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+279.3%+$59.83
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$11.15
Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.86
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+251.1%+$235.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$16.87
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Algeria to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$16.58
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$26.38
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$8.59
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+119%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.