Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0916e682ce8a6d8d33d7027d1ae326aa07485ab960f4cd89a9af293e4f50213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,744$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.26 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 1,440$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 47c | 1,280$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.31 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…b2d9backed Yes | 75c | 1,258$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 50c | 1,196$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.14 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 10c | 1,180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.81 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,061$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.98 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 77c | 1,032$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked No | 65c | 1,020$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 58c | 865.05$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.98 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 36c | 753.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.08 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 3c | 731.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.1 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 69c | 714.83$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 634.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.51 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 410$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 409.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 71c | 401.47$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 33c | 341.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 316.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 4c | 308.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 6c | 295.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 10c | 284.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 41c | 267.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 12c | 245.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 16c | 241.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked Yes | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 12c | 226.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 12c | 220.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 73c | 217.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 18c | 216.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a7f9backed Yes | 32c | 210.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 208.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 9c | 205.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 25c | 185.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 7c | 185.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 36c | 167.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 27c | 163.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 23c | 162.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 23c | 161.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…b2c9backed Yes | 47c | 148.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 31c | 146.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 143.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 38c | 128.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 80c | 125.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 68c | 121.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 111.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 45c | 107.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 15c | 99.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 32c | 86.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 59c | 85.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…2e56backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 62c | 80.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 31c | 74.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 74.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked No | 64c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 50c | 67.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 64c | 64.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 161 | 61.5%99 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…c892backed Yes | 78c | 64.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 59.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…fd84backed No | 33c | 57.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 22c | 49.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…dbc8backed Yes | 74c | 48.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked Yes | 25c | 47.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 28c | 47.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…c1b5backed No | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 29c | 44.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 62c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac67…e084backed Yes | 76c | 39.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 68c | 35.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 79c | 33.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…d991backed Yes | 76c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…c01fbacked Yes | 76c | 29.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…6803backed No | 42c | 27.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…402ebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…c520backed Yes | 77c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 62c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.