TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01a9…75dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT24141.9%101 W · 140 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 241 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$35.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+759.1%+$76.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+302.9%+$41.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$38.99
Showing 25 of 241 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$36.19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.35
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.06
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.83
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$7.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$26.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$31.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$47.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$24.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.