TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,560,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,680,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 959 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c207,889$76,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,812.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Over76c130,951$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,951.342025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c107,922$30,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,669.291,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.9517840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c82,047$20,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,911.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under44c55,195$24,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,315.9324058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over75c39,808$29,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,952.0817949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under9c34,069$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over74c33,139$24,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,478.381,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c31,397$22,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,994.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under24c29,706$7,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,189.7156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under30c27,561$8,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over76c23,158$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.8916957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over54c18,299$9,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,493.654235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over71c17,583$12,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.6649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under51c15,655$7,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,972.1242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over75c15,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under24c15,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under24c14,460$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c13,949$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b05…c092backed Over76c13,158$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.891877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over56c12,387$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.3318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Under7c12,383$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.388041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c11,636$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.631,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over77c11,291$8,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.9978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under45c11,135$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c11,121$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.422,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Over74c10,651$7,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.778847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over72c10,589$7,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.6733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.969650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c9,825$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over74c9,459$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.467244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c9,344$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under28c9,266$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under27c9,143$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.615947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over70c9,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over73c8,858$6,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.8510355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under44c8,301$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.49947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under44c7,805$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under25c7,701$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.2520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over55c7,600$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4206459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c7,581$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.3877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Over76c7,228$5,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.832665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3607…d3ffbacked Over72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c6,694$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.383,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Under43c6,250$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.364040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c5,609$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over57c5,108$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.3322749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under24c4,800$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under26c4,444$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.4214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a7…b799backed Over73c4,357$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.083951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over76c4,300$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Over75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0009148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…39a9backed Under26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-77.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over77c3,831$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.25662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under26c3,631$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0423036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over57c3,470$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.9615034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under32c3,425$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.2838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c3,224$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.812,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under20c3,138$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under37c3,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.971963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a52…5da4backed Over77c2,833$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.551464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…321fbacked Over75c2,644$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under26c2,601$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under26c2,600$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67617747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under27c2,420$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.3892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Over76c2,370$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.867230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c2,361$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under30c2,354$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.1574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc5…45c1backed Over57c2,330$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.981850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under30c2,288$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.6669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under1c2,250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c2,173$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.792,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c2,173$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.793,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Over76c2,168$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.336666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over77c2,166$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6416750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under23c2,159$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.636031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c2,155$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.661,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under29c2,148$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under24c2,090$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under25c2,049$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.2844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4a…49b4backed Over74c2,034$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.924436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Over74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.034452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Over74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.039036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over76c2,001$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.325158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Over75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.