France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6dc8130a69ffd2f560a2ebc5d36438566290269e0b145e25f95e0b0dced2958

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $345,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $444,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,995 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	8c	28,428$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.42	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	9c	20,772$1,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.69	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	10c	13,220$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	8c	10,823$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Over	10c	9,679$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.92	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over	10c	9,444$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.36	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	7c	7,580$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.96	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c80…60adbacked Over	10c	6,870$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over	10c	4,010$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.03	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Over	9c	1,885$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	4c	1,778$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.53	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over	7c	1,736$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.52	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	235	13.2%31 W · 204 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over	8c	1,314$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.12	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	4c	1,175$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.38	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Over	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over	10c	964.9$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.49	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb58a…5107backed Over	10c	954.1$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	10c	940$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over	10c	781$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.1	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	9c	652.49$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.72	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3c…dc1dbacked Over	10c	585.3$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.53	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	21.8%34 W · 122 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Over	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ef…83bdbacked Over	7c	535$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	10c	506.03$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	304	63.5%193 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x331c…974ebacked Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Over	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Over	7c	409.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	10c	360$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2880…d888backed Over	8c	350$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	9c	331.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	10c	300.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	28.1%34 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	103	8.7%9 W · 94 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-44%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6985…ad13backed Over	7c	296.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f74…caf7backed Over	10c	292.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…23d2backed Over	8c	274.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	10c	212.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Over	10c	210$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7698…57c0backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe492…d1f8backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304d…2c1cbacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1c…bd68backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	10c	196.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf180…3b6cbacked Over	7c	149.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over	10c	111.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1528…1740backed Over	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	296	39.5%117 W · 179 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6899backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe189…5f9abacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d7…761dbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd741…0079backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5this page
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-4.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-5.5)Iraq won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-2.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-4.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event