France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32327bea3426e0207356af1b4575fcd08b6c79a9992a74abbdb131bc915a1fc6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb31b…d703backed Over	63c	3,760$2,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.48	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under	43c	2,490$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.85	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	43c	2,114$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.61	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under	36c	1,899$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.8	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	64c	1,671$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.72	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	57c	1,568$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.24	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	29c	1,151$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.02	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under	36c	1,089$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.06	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	36c	1,079$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.11	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	64c	688.18$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.89	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	42c	593.98$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.27	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	61c	492.01$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.01	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over	57c	491.74$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.45	153	21.6%33 W · 120 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under	39c	489.59$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.94	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under	42c	477.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3058…7767backed Over	64c	390.63$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.63	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	36c	366.84$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.13	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	57c	356.43$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.93	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…5ad0backed Over	58c	345$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	52c	331.56$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.15	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Under	40c	233.93$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.57	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	235	54.9%129 W · 106 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	68c	208$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.18	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under	39c	177.49$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over	54c	176.93$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.39	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972d…b581backed Over	57c	172.7$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.26	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	72c	162.36$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.12	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	24c	156.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	57c	150$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	64c	130.07$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.83	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad33…a3c5backed Under	38c	97.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	55c	94.28$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.71	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	62c	88.97$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	37c	88.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c7…fedfbacked Under	48c	82.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Under	48c	62.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x197d…14b5backed Under	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over	57c	54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	246	54.1%133 W · 113 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…a87ebacked Over	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	130	58.5%76 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	36c	48.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6535…dd25backed Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…ac93backed Over	57c	39.65$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.05	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Over	56c	39.6$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab24…f353backed Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under	36c	31.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e30…4764backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	50	76%38 W · 12 L	+6.3wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.95	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under	41c	26.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5419…e3d2backed Over	57c	26.49$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cd…5648backed Over	65c	26.15$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under	47c	25.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	64c	21.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea46…1f28backed Under	51c	20.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2392…5952backed Over	57c	18.14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-4.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-5.5)Iraq won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-2.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-4.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event