TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over3c28,425$893 inLost-$893.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over3c10,343$331 inLost-$330.9742710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over5c6,768$323 inLost-$323.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over5c5,520$270 inLost-$27019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over5c2,832$156 inLost-$155.6575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c2,298$68 inLost-$67.52,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over4c1,690$74 inLost-$74.41595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over4c1,688$59 inLost-$59.08258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over3c1,226$41 inLost-$419622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over4c1,200$45 inLost-$44.551,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Over5c1,042$50 inLost-$5014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Over5c1,023$49 inLost-$48.811553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost-$5065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over5c933.64$46 inLost-$45.7530463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over4c577.41$25 inLost-$24.5943230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over5c500.44$23 inLost-$23.4228337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over4c500$20 inLost-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over4c400$16 inLost-$166544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over5c400$19 inLost-$19.212128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…bd68backed Over5c346.94$17 inLost-$17520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over5c316.6$15 inLost-$14.886639.4%26 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Over5c312.5$15 inLost-$151038.7%9 W · 94 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over4c281.22$11 inLost-$11.0387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe189…5f9abacked Over5c251.39$12 inLost-$12.011723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over4c250.86$10 inLost-$1012637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over4c250$10 inLost-$1012844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.