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Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$731,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$810,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c165,848$67,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,498.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over50c80,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over60c59,538$35,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,110.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under33c53,268$17,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,771.6220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c50,985$16,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,279.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77a…62fabacked Under53c23,131$12,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,304.153060%18 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c19,824$13,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,672.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under32c16,819$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.2174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over68c16,671$11,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,334.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c13,953$9,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over69c13,045$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.5816957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Under31c11,683$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.398631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c10,911$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,425.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c9…5eb1backed Over66c9,779$6,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.773265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c9,467$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c9,295$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under32c7,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.94746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c6,983$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c6,005$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.451,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under27c5,800$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5669823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Over70c5,429$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.574854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Over68c5,324$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.994353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c4,138$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.462,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Under35c4,085$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.533933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c4,056$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over66c3,953$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.078858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over67c3,675$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.786660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over56c3,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.9722749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under4c3,503$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf380…5858backed Over67c3,284$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Over48c3,094$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over51c2,869$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.4317938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c2,818$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.6730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over65c2,637$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.064057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over67c2,617$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.487167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d2…586fbacked Over67c2,514$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over51c2,421$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.2922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Over68c2,316$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.494719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under34c2,231$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.0292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over67c2,062$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.126741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9612947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8f…99b8backed Over68c1,999$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over61c1,555$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.5714440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.8518465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over67c1,499$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c1,495$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.883,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5925228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x053b…9cbbbacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under32c1,412$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over45c1,307$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Over68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c1,197$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.091,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under34c1,193$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c48…c943backed Over75c1,187$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.73757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…5726backed Over68c1,175$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over66c1,164$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6817625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Over67c1,118$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.895024%12 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.789156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Over68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.414835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under31c999.95$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over67c958.82$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.272,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over63c913.72$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over68c896.62$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.973158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c829.5$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd675…5cdebacked Over67c798.13$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Over73c779.33$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.339248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over67c749.25$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.258156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over67c746.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7222846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Over67c746.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.573842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15e…afd2backed Over70c717.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.142657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over70c710$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21325537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ff…0849backed Over71c704.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.935429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2177358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over75c686.11$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c676.07$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.853,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over66c632.82$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3916136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca0…9e43backed Over68c611.24$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.61485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.245541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over65c580.16$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.068735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Over67c576.12$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.129540%38 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c574.56$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b1…39dabacked Over50c562.88$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.448254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Over64c548.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5613035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6a…0345backed Over69c537.64$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3676…7e88backed Over68c531.59$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7859…7e8ebacked Over69c530.43$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.438851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.247245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over68c516.88$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.410754.2%58 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7119645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Under39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+728.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d8…fe20backed Over68c511.51$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.516363.5%40 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under41c511.19$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14521850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.