TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08cd…f35f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9540%38 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$1,315.18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$220.37
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$85.72
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$150.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$329.19
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$634.28
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$46.1
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$402.23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$51.92
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$155.45
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$140.66
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$153.33
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.43
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$159.62
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.86
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$172.94
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$146.67
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.92
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$217.03
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.99
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Brasov: Keegan Smith vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$85.07
Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42%+$67.15
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.13
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$82.42
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$73.78
Cary: Rei Sakamoto vs Timo Legoutbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Jointbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.33
Set Handicap: Quinn (-2.5) vs Mochizuki (+2.5)backed Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$33.04
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$117.27
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$103.91
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Kokkinakis (+1.5)backed Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$154.24
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.