TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasov: Keegan Smith vs Zsombor Piros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zsombor Pirosof Keegan Smith, Zsombor Piros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Keegan Smith29c8,169$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.683,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Zsombor Piros50c7,995$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.1126355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Zsombor Piros70c6,409$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a4…4917backed Keegan Smith15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith27c3,711$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.54,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Zsombor Piros75c3,040$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.355,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Keegan Smith25c3,006$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Zsombor Piros72c2,779$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.224,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Keegan Smith29c2,000$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5933346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Keegan Smith21c1,604$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.481,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Zsombor Piros73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8694068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Zsombor Piros72c1,051$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.494,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Keegan Smith35c1,018$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0238446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Smith24c926.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Keegan Smith13c899.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11735938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Keegan Smith12c833.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zsombor Piros60c830.57$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.872,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Zsombor Piros63c822.55$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.663265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Keegan Smith14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith30c593.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.972,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Keegan Smith34c592.03$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Zsombor Piros60c501$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keegan Smith15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Zsombor Piros49c392.26$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0416549.7%82 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Zsombor Piros70c359.64$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.891,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Zsombor Piros74c331.45$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.972,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Zsombor Piros73c315.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.072161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Keegan Smith29c305$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Zsombor Piros76c296.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.723,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Zsombor Piros69c282.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Keegan Smith39c264.72$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.241,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Keegan Smith20c253.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9399244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330c…6b26backed Zsombor Piros68c216.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Keegan Smith12c202$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Keegan Smith27c193.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.452,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Keegan Smith33c193.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6430235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Keegan Smith29c193.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1233462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Keegan Smith32c191.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2392138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Keegan Smith29c189.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.459924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Zsombor Piros71c185.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.783,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Keegan Smith10c171.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.731,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Keegan Smith23c152.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.576,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Keegan Smith21c151.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.011,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Keegan Smith16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Keegan Smith20c149.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.271,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Zsombor Piros71c145.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Zsombor Piros75c137.45$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Keegan Smith12c137.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zsombor Piros72c121.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.118,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8781…b2dcbacked Keegan Smith29c118.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Zsombor Piros74c118.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.932,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Keegan Smith47c117.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.846256.5%35 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Zsombor Piros70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Keegan Smith13c107.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.182,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Zsombor Piros71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2933647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Keegan Smith25c96.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keegan Smith27c94.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.657,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Keegan Smith21c92.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0160452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Zsombor Piros71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.235457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…6ababacked Zsombor Piros51c77.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Keegan Smith19c75.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4816046.3%74 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Keegan Smith39c75.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Zsombor Piros73c75.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3437262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd5…805abacked Zsombor Piros68c74.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Zsombor Piros63c65.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5111462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith22c65.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Keegan Smith24c65.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Keegan Smith42c63.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7919656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Keegan Smith25c62.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.951,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Keegan Smith32c60.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1478957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c5c…8d37backed Zsombor Piros50c60.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Keegan Smith35c55.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5723536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337a…b913backed Zsombor Piros72c55.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.364632.6%15 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Zsombor Piros71c50.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.744051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Zsombor Piros61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Zsombor Piros71c46.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5673048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Keegan Smith28c46.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Zsombor Piros68c45.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Zsombor Piros68c44.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2233048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Zsombor Piros72c37.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5531657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Keegan Smith30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Zsombor Piros65c32.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.348152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Zsombor Piros71c30.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.788452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Zsombor Piros72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Keegan Smith36c29.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Keegan Smith54c20.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1221554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Zsombor Piros61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Zsombor Piros71c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7519064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Zsombor Piros71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.920048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Zsombor Piros74c16.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.393458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…0f35backed Zsombor Piros70c14.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.435232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.