TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d0a…ea32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
508
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT43618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 436 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Augsburg: Dominik Recek vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Dominik Recek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Roehampton: Mark Ceban vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Iliyan Radulov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Sion: Mika Brunold vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Kingston: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinezbacked Evan Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Kingston: Liam Draxl vs Andres Andradebacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilaganbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
ITF Roehampton: Jodie Anna Burrage vs Hiromi Abebacked Jodie Anna Burrage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$33.44
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+627.8%+$88.97
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Ivan Marrero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+352.9%+$39.87
Showing 25 of 436 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT6836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$76.66
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+330.5%+$76.02
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+136%+$30.6
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+252.7%+$44.22
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+314.1%+$94.22
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.