Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd23b4810d916942c2c7b71d9f0f5e3248adc0e4017d8ffa5dd0b1fe721beb0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,224,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,942,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,224,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d4d…8b35backed Yes | 0c | 1,228,626$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 397,185$311,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,993.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 51c | 313,566$159,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,861.4 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea1…dad3backed Yes | 17c | 263,660$43,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,527.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 227,576$28,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,873.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 141,120$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.53 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 48c | 129,958$61,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,891.82 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 16c | 123,332$20,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,266.52 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 14c | 90,187$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 34c | 75,584$25,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,711.72 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 72,167$14,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,394.51 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 79c | 60,523$47,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,709.85 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 17c | 58,000$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,570 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 18c | 55,556$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes | 14c | 51,852$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 43,681$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 40,000$20,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,449.94 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 37,221$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.77 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Yes | 17c | 34,875$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 70c | 33,311$23,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,104.13 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…b601backed Yes | 16c | 31,842$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 30,403$14,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,657.54 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 10c | 30,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.55 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 69c | 29,454$20,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,235.33 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 26,670$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.9 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 17c | 25,713$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 55c | 24,689$13,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.25 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 13c | 22,998$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.61 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…cd29backed Yes | 2c | 22,990$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.53 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 19c | 22,207$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.56 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes | 16c | 20,662$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.94 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…d379backed Yes | 30c | 20,553$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…6c3dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,536$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2b3abacked Yes | 2c | 19,229$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 20c | 18,380$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 18,018$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.6 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Yes | 17c | 17,935$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 20c | 17,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 0c | 16,330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…8ad6backed Yes | 1c | 15,790$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes | 40c | 15,515$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.86 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 15,300$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…c668backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.97 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Yes | 17c | 14,925$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 14,817$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…3edcbacked Yes | 14c | 14,437$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 58c | 14,317$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.42 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 16c | 14,300$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.71 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 13,297$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.26 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 68c | 13,050$8,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 16c | 12,996$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.88 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 12,907$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 23c | 12,507$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 0c | 12,043$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…5e04backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 17c | 12,000$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f02ebacked Yes | 17c | 11,902$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 11,344$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.88 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 11,273$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.28 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 39c | 11,206$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.07 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 50c | 10,643$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.85 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 47c | 10,528$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 46c | 10,472$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.28 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 14c | 10,440$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.65 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 15c | 10,334$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…38b3backed Yes | 13c | 10,275$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 6c | 10,263$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.59 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c619backed Yes | 17c | 10,046$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…833ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 23c | 9,980$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.56 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…0729backed Yes | 19c | 9,814$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 17c | 9,609$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.17 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…59fabacked Yes | 20c | 9,563$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed Yes | 12c | 9,369$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.5 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 54c | 9,278$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.85 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Yes | 44c | 9,165$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.62 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes | 38c | 9,164$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.72 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…cdf6backed Yes | 1c | 9,023$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 55c | 8,990$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.6 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…ba30backed Yes | 17c | 8,986$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.04 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 17c | 8,750$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…45e2backed Yes | 25c | 8,738$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 32c | 8,605$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.87 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 8,596$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.79 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 17c | 8,585$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 54c | 8,269$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.94 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…ad34backed Yes | 24c | 8,195$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 23c | 8,119$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.14 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,011$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 47c | 7,996$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.76 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 12c | 7,797$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.44 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 20c | 7,685$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 21c | 7,433$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.24 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,407$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?this page
- Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.