Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea55d012e501a500011f42067b140ee5dcb4c678c94401459962b3a841ac568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,840,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,071,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,840,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 75c | 291,134$219,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,964.81 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 25c | 248,346$62,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,714.56 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 27c | 199,999$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,999.84 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 176,773$50,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,100.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 65c | 139,999$90,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,499.79 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes | 25c | 133,160$32,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,624.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 58c | 130,504$76,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,422.77 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 102,178$72,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,449.48 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 91,859$34,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,689.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 74c | 83,484$61,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,105.83 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 27c | 78,505$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 27c | 75,902$20,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,131.08 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 5c | 66,427$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.59 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed No | 74c | 62,999$46,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,222.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 73c | 60,273$44,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,072.89 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 60,174$43,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,207.28 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 41c | 58,067$24,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,054.2 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 45c | 55,168$24,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,741.5 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 43c | 54,595$23,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,308.18 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes | 5c | 51,680$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 26c | 50,715$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,300.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9272backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 47,970$12,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,712.05 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 47,739$26,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,026.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 55c | 46,006$25,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,629.54 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 75c | 38,627$29,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,560.18 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 36,870$26,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,157.59 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 40c | 35,216$14,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,150.42 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed No | 67c | 35,110$23,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…2ef7backed No | 74c | 33,600$24,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,681.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 0c | 32,948$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 74c | 31,930$23,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,431.46 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 31,424$7,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,856.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 77c | 30,500$23,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,945.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 74c | 30,279$22,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872.58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 29,455$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.85 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 26c | 29,059$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 74c | 28,081$20,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.16 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 27,697$17,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,713.38 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 43c | 27,643$11,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,915.63 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 76c | 26,658$20,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.84 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 53c | 24,629$13,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,495.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 74c | 23,000$17,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 27c | 22,642$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 43c | 21,871$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.16 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…26dcbacked Yes | 1c | 21,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 20,615$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.8 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 5c | 19,617$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.64 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 39c | 19,480$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.8 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 26c | 19,416$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 32c | 18,740$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.12 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed No | 71c | 18,525$13,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed No | 72c | 18,463$13,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 18,438$13,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.53 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…e160backed Yes | 27c | 18,282$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Yes | 34c | 17,910$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 16,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.92 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 73c | 15,989$11,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.48 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 71c | 15,867$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.17 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 78c | 15,772$12,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.86 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 15c | 14,970$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.96 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 14c | 14,954$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.3 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 25c | 14,547$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.02 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…4931backed No | 74c | 14,220$10,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.65 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…be4ebacked No | 75c | 13,783$10,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 13,196$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.88 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 74c | 13,017$9,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.33 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 13c | 12,840$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.92 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 75c | 12,797$9,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.84 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 29c | 12,643$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…d59bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 31c | 12,515$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.44 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 75c | 12,450$9,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed Yes | 26c | 12,381$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 75c | 12,300$9,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.06 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Yes | 26c | 12,000$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.86 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 56c | 11,962$6,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.67 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 34c | 11,937$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 72c | 11,909$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.43 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 34c | 11,682$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.39 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…0fa4backed Yes | 11c | 11,566$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 41c | 11,405$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.43 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 74c | 11,350$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.03 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 11c | 11,284$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.75 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…7410backed Yes | 71c | 11,262$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 59c | 11,000$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.43 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 73c | 10,778$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.32 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0074backed Yes | 2c | 10,433$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed No | 72c | 10,335$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.53 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…38b3backed Yes | 33c | 10,274$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 28c | 10,214$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.29 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 10,001$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.25 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 9,863$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.91 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed No | 73c | 9,650$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.37 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No won
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.