Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bde2aa4a2067139451beb84649e5acaff989a3a0817fb1c592046c993d4168

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,724,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,402,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,724,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,768 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7225…659abacked No	48c	1,366,979$650,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650,582.42	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d5d…e218backed No	42c	743,860$315,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315,380.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	42c	651,978$274,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274,267.49	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed No	43c	519,496$222,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222,268.44	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	42c	516,551$219,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219,011.28	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes	57c	471,671$267,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204,491.71	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095f…90b2backed Yes	57c	396,131$226,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169,346.18	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Yes	52c	369,065$193,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175,310.54	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	56c	359,746$201,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157,935.66	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	58c	325,368$188,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136,767.75	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes	58c	300,000$173,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126,749.98	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	56c	240,305$134,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105,471.91	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed No	46c	239,999$110,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,399.34	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes	58c	218,651$125,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92,848.44	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	55c	217,590$119,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,901.57	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes	58c	200,000$116,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84,000	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	61c	184,191$112,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,104.48	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	21c	167,986$35,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,260.47	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No	3c	152,019$4,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,527.98	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	45c	139,050$63,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,078.82	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0402…4e41backed Yes	58c	134,500$77,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,133.69	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes	66c	131,012$86,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,924.04	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	44c	125,599$54,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,732.98	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	45c	120,674$54,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,168.92	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	51c	116,836$59,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,455.29	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	54c	113,140$61,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,900.95	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…ba32backed Yes	27c	112,572$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,571.6	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+4.8wins	+0.34per pick	51cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes	58c	110,228$63,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,608.81	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	57c	100,362$57,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,713.07	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No	43c	100,000$43,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,250	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No	43c	99,999$42,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,499.77	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	43c	94,881$40,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,489.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked No	43c	91,472$39,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,332.96	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes	53c	90,734$47,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,788.48	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	55c	89,403$49,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,231.46	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	47c	87,710$41,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,511.87	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No	41c	85,812$34,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,776.43	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes	59c	83,761$49,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,760.68	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes	67c	82,206$55,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,859.08	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	61c	81,277$49,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,235.78	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No	45c	79,365$35,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,866.61	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	42c	79,363$33,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,559.36	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	63c	79,360$49,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,625.09	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	58c	78,521$45,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,276.88	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	56c	71,149$39,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,649.26	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	47c	68,593$31,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,596.86	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	44c	67,998$29,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,836.68	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No	41c	67,943$27,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,809.05	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes	53c	66,666$35,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,499.67	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	58c	66,199$38,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,971.8	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Yes	57c	64,737$36,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,836.84	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Yes	53c	60,019$31,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,208.93	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No	42c	59,300$24,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,928.06	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	30c	58,976$17,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,245.75	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	48c	57,574$27,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,753.04	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No	5c	54,751$2,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,786.51	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No	40c	54,538$21,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,914.23	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Yes	57c	52,400$29,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,401	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	61c	52,325$31,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,814.77	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	42c	51,707$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,600.01	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	58c	50,000$29,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,875	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes	39c	48,000$18,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,046.7	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No	57c	44,579$25,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,479.93	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No	79c	44,173$35,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,065.58	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Yes	35c	43,855$15,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,468.79	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed No	4c	42,310$1,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,604.77	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…8f51backed Yes	60c	37,549$22,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,019.75	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No	1c	37,047$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.64	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Yes	57c	35,470$20,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,357.79	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No	14c	35,092$5,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,014.39	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes	58c	34,483$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,482.76	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No	43c	34,400$14,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,795.71	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No	42c	33,332$13,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,832.8	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes	54c	33,000$17,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,180	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No	40c	33,000$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,199.98	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes	40c	32,605$12,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,690.85	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes	53c	30,000$15,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,125	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes	57c	30,000$17,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,774.96	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes	56c	30,000$16,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,274.92	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No	43c	30,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,999.91	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Yes	31c	29,531$9,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,372.22	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes	57c	28,619$16,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,163.11	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes	53c	27,913$14,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,243.86	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes	58c	27,607$15,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,732.95	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No	1c	27,500$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.63	192	18.8%36 W · 156 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No	49c	26,505$12,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,855.09	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes	57c	26,500$15,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,461.31	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes	57c	26,440$15,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,239.83	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	20c	26,028$5,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,251.49	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	40c	25,815$10,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,269.55	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	40c	25,709$10,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,404.57	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f0…da35backed Yes	57c	25,381$14,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,937.6	82	62.2%51 W · 31 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No	42c	25,349$10,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,646.72	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No	42c	25,250$10,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,598.72	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No	43c	25,000$10,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,625.11	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	54c	25,000$13,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,570.13	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Yes	53c	24,910$13,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,707.88	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	69c	23,818$16,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,312.48	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	44c	23,656$10,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,250.81	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No	48c	23,451$11,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,185.35	208	39.4%82 W · 126 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?this page
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event