TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c1e…bab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT22348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$419,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$419,032.18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$678,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$678,542.02
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,599.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50,655.32
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,229.44
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,656.88
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+267.2%+$269,249.88
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,648.97
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$16,749.95
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$151,874.98
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,275
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,749.97
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,374.96
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$205,217.22
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$8,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,500.45
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,942.81
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$56,249.77
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$19,956.07
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$108,160.15
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.61
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,461.92
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,250
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,500
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,499.99
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$34.45
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$20.06
Counter-Strike: 300FPS vs Teletubisie (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked 300FPS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$41.13
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+304.7%+$89.59
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$87.99
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs BOJONG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked BOJONG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.73
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Cbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$6.14
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$10.95
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$29.71
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.42
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.28
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$464.87
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$185.02
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+465.5%+$167.87
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.79
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.97
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.81
All 9 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.