MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f9c8590912a8a1a89ee8d1077e3f4854b165508d28a190ca40e18e317c1a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 241,551$164,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,254.67 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 200,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Yankees | 66c | 81,412$53,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,830.88 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 49c | 51,491$25,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,305.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 32,891$15,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,052.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 32,889$15,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,395.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed New York Yankees | 68c | 29,412$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 28,725$9,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,532.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 28,409$14,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,636.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 20c | 21,786$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.95 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 21,363$14,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees | 26c | 19,887$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.89 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 19,451$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,158.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 17,213$8,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 15,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,170 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 15,000$9,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.74 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked New York Yankees | 0c | 13,010$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 49c | 12,909$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 12,836$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 12,735$9,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.36 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 10,156$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,906 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…bb32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 9,900$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed New York Yankees | 24c | 9,495$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 14c | 9,374$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.26 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 8,345$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 22c | 8,048$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.96 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed New York Yankees | 68c | 7,777$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees | 53c | 6,625$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 6,477$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 5,220$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 5,205$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed New York Yankees | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 4,562$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 22c | 4,136$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 3,900$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 32c | 3,252$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 68c | 3,145$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.54 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Yankees | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked New York Yankees | 67c | 2,818$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees | 0c | 2,816$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 2,339$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.92 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed New York Yankees | 15c | 2,325$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,296$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.13 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Yankees | 4c | 2,152$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 2,117$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 2,087$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 2,041$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.46 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 25c | 1,862$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,860$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.71 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,810$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 14c | 1,714$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 30c | 1,653$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Yankees | 42c | 1,632$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.44 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed New York Yankees | 23c | 1,562$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,517$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,476$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.12 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,406$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed New York Yankees | 14c | 1,405$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked New York Yankees | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 1,316$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.07 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,222$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.88 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,206$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.39 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,155$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,139$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.57 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,081$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.63 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,072$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed New York Yankees | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,041$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.18 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed New York Yankees | 33c | 1,016$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.92 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Yankees | 68c | 1,014$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.52 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed New York Yankees | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 21c | 980.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 971.01$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 936.69$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 927.42$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…57ddbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed New York Yankees | 41c | 862.4$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 849.14$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 845.35$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 810.39$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed New York Yankees | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed New York Yankees | 57c | 797$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.9 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 796.2$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 14c | 789.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 785.13$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 784.45$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…1e93backed New York Yankees | 60c | 755.56$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked New York Yankees | 17c | 749.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…be04backed New York Yankees | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed New York Yankees | 22c | 714.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.