TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof New York Yankees, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees52c33,907$17,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,552.11,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals48c18,526$8,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,633.2673650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked New York Yankees50c14,900$7,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,443.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed St. Louis Cardinals50c14,683$7,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,407.0222447.3%106 W · 118 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62539953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed St. Louis Cardinals48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62539051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals50c2,664$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.836,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals75c2,352$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.411,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals50c1,234$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.848,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals50c1,230$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.222,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees10c1,221$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals50c1,024$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees52c1,005$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.31,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees51c786.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035056%196 W · 154 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed New York Yankees30c669.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals55c620.18$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.082,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals49c511.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.021,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed New York Yankees51c494.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked St. Louis Cardinals48c364.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6821550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals65c346$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.355,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed New York Yankees53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed New York Yankees13c313.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5934139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14759252.7%312 W · 280 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed New York Yankees51c296.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6d…935fbacked New York Yankees27c257.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.891428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals48c240.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9599947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals65c211.94$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.923775.7%28 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+67.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed St. Louis Cardinals49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3166748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees47c180.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.762,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Yankees49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7149540.2%199 W · 296 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed New York Yankees51c169.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7553655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed St. Louis Cardinals75c167.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6388153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed New York Yankees51c158.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.528245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed St. Louis Cardinals48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.256454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees19c153.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals48c140.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.932,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Yankees51c139.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4946255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked St. Louis Cardinals48c116.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.417651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.79,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed New York Yankees35c107.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5345650.4%230 W · 226 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed New York Yankees49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042849.1%210 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed St. Louis Cardinals48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5215442.2%65 W · 89 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.994,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees21c96.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed St. Louis Cardinals56c96.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6233352.3%174 W · 159 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed St. Louis Cardinals70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.716753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed St. Louis Cardinals48c84.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7332552.9%172 W · 153 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked St. Louis Cardinals54c81.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.988656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…69ddbacked New York Yankees50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Yankees30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2148445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7982…6aaabacked St. Louis Cardinals49c69.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.273151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf474…5f86backed New York Yankees52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed St. Louis Cardinals51c65.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0787850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a10…2a2ebacked New York Yankees49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306060%36 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked New York Yankees50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked New York Yankees40c58.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1622949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed New York Yankees49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals48c50.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.164,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c49.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6319549.2%96 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked New York Yankees53c47.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed St. Louis Cardinals53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2135747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed St. Louis Cardinals50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015953.5%85 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals53c35.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6103…3abfbacked St. Louis Cardinals49c30.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed St. Louis Cardinals48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.630928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed New York Yankees51c28.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.688046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed St. Louis Cardinals49c27.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9210838.9%42 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals71c24.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed St. Louis Cardinals53c24.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3314848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked St. Louis Cardinals70c23.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0390669.9%633 W · 273 L+94.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed New York Yankees49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124644.7%110 W · 136 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals76c17.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.258267.1%55 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.