MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40862b1e30f9b57def2e013cbe1d3fb7ebdbbaf638e11971582c2f7d8e6914e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 219,530$119,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,986.11 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 46c | 35,465$16,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,313.9 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 32,527$14,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,962.42 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 29,167$13,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110.73 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 28,165$12,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,711.49 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 26,341$12,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,397.07 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 18,849$8,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,482.05 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 53c | 16,420$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,717.45 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 11,607$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Under | 47c | 11,551$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 10,813$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 9,668$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 46c | 9,250$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 7,224$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.78 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 45c | 6,405$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Under | 45c | 6,405$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,849$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 3,552$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 3,256$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 75c | 3,001$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 46c | 2,552$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.83 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 2,145$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 26c | 1,998$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.72 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 1,911$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.74 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 1,621$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.38 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 1,596$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.17 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 1,534$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.51 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 54c | 1,499$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.6 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 54c | 1,478$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.66 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 70c | 1,434$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,255$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.76 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 45c | 1,005$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.27 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 879.67$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 841.95$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 752$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.44 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 71c | 682.45$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 54c | 617.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 598.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 589$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 46c | 548.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 46c | 504.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 47c | 439.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 22c | 338.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 72c | 335.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 296.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 47c | 266.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 46c | 258.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 46c | 250.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 206.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 46c | 180.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 29c | 179.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 175.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 46c | 173.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed Over | 54c | 163.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 154.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 32c | 150.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 72c | 143.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 45c | 132.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 47c | 131.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 34c | 131.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 28c | 119.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 29c | 119.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 46c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 45c | 105.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed Under | 47c | 103.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 44c | 92.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 54c | 90.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 46c | 90.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 46c | 86.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 39c | 80.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.