TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe49f…03ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT9339.8%37 W · 56 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$133.21
Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zhengbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.97
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.78
Cincinnati Open: Juncheng Shang vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$43.35
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.42
Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibsonbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.43
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Harriet Dartbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.42
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.07
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$20.02
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Cincinnati Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$35.84
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.2
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT7651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$44.38
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$60.14
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.91
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.57
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.01
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.7
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$29.55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$42.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$60.14
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$57.38
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.21
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.08
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.38
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.93
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)backed Urawa Red Diamonds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$4.24
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.71
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$32.55
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Liaoning Tieren FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$24.04
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)backed Liaoning Tieren FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75%+$22.56
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.16
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$20.81
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$29.89
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$4.16
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$12.12
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$26.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.2
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$12.24
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$13.75
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$15.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Abacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.03
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.73
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$14.46
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.49
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$12.02
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.